Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 512.525930 544.720854 578.150089 615.509962 656.166175 699.144843 748.112722
2026-02-01 472.591485 517.096889 565.145770 621.080674 684.663982 754.995770 839.093925
2026-02-08 447.718554 499.954240 557.922613 627.413019 708.966732 802.278176 918.037240
2026-02-15 425.564007 483.014070 548.197463 628.228750 724.665778 838.183962 983.508757
2026-02-22 407.193874 468.611475 539.630264 628.649846 738.425879 870.940663 1045.453730
2026-03-01 392.916839 457.809067 534.132870 631.613085 754.393310 906.102973 1111.272914
2026-03-08 378.418430 445.719931 526.070863 630.416819 764.360298 933.395563 1167.632595
2026-03-15 366.470589 435.987611 520.142884 631.142038 776.194790 962.965998 1227.921808
2026-03-22 355.286243 426.563949 513.955334 630.890909 786.265900 990.143719 1285.887227
2026-03-29 345.291703 418.111695 508.462389 631.004164 796.419517 1017.431891 1345.018433
2026-04-05 337.569960 412.153306 505.769086 634.432558 810.838077 1050.812823 1414.300954
2026-04-12 329.071945 404.803150 500.866791 634.506981 820.388543 1077.521261 1475.014537
2026-04-19 323.113517 400.539013 499.820789 639.681406 837.146185 1115.138872 1554.255512
2026-04-26 317.773903 396.843624 499.298860 645.399083 854.712173 1154.528377 1638.410129
2026-05-03 313.156413 393.891445 499.573052 652.080672 873.742967 1196.749268 1729.422691
2026-05-10 306.709204 388.229382 495.902006 652.937975 884.142397 1226.312268 1801.778325
2026-05-17 300.496010 382.659381 492.115387 653.381503 893.781709 1254.950515 1874.168800
2026-05-24 295.553694 378.646349 490.299469 656.501606 907.412197 1290.225827 1959.748814
2026-05-31 289.407803 372.771607 485.654555 655.241978 914.197290 1314.848857 2028.458777
2026-06-07 284.238281 368.087618 482.507531 656.005605 924.006325 1344.604242 2107.910123
2026-06-14 278.994719 363.138555 478.802551 655.741174 932.088129 1371.773771 2184.368557
2026-06-21 274.118478 358.561976 475.468497 655.860429 940.677958 1400.041808 2264.581316
2026-06-28 270.526668 355.696783 474.492056 659.470587 954.899259 1438.309760 2366.018047